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Nate Silver - The Signal and the Noise

Thursday, October 4, 2012 at 7:00 pm
Put your money on chutzpah, and you’re likely to lose it, Silver says. In this primer on probability and uncertainty, the logician and fivethirtyeight.com blogger explains that overconfidence is one of the greatest pitfalls in predictions. In a series of examples drawn from politics, sports, stocks, and other iffy arenas, he shows that where the future is concerned, one should try a little skepticism--even humility.
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Non Fiction
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't Cover Image
$27.95
ISBN: 9781594204111
Availability: Not On Our Shelves—Ships in 1-5 Days
Published: Penguin Press - September 27th, 2012

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